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002075.SZ$3.84-3.03%
Fair $3.84+0.0%

002075.SZ

Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelShenzhen

$3.84

-0.12 (-3.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.84Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-49.7M · quality 28.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002075.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.4B

P/E

34.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

4.1%

↑

Gross Margin

9.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.24

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

002075.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.840Periodo +30.8%
Fair value: $3.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.3%

FCF CAGR

+64.7%

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

3.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.12B · net income $267.4M · FCF $982.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.1%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

3.3%-0.6% pts

Net margin

2.0%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

7.5%+6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.12B$13.12B$14.42B$15.62B$18.17B
Net Income$267.4M$267.4M$162.6M$225.0M$453.1M
EBITDA$1.52B$1.52B$1.04B$1.04B$1.40B
EPS0.120.120.070.100.21
Gross Margin9.1%9.1%4.8%6.4%8.6%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%-0.3%1.5%3.9%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%1.1%1.4%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.241.241.601.390.33
Current Ratio1.171.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$982.2M$982.2M$-49.7M$-868.2M$219.9M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%2.5%3.3%7.1%
Valuation
P/E34.9134.9184.2937.9019.10
EV/EBITDA7.017.0114.5010.966.56
P/B1.301.302.141.261.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.0%-9.0%-7.7%-14.1%—
EPS Growth71.4%71.4%-30.0%-52.4%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

41.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.34

Spread vs growth

29.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.41

Spread vs growth

43.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

52.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.5%

Total return

-37.5%

Start / end P/E

89.6x → 32.0x

EPS bridge

0.07 → 0.12

Residual

-45.9%

EPS growth+71.4%
Multiple rerating-64.3%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-45.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.