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002125.SZ$15.05+1.62%
Fair $15.05+0.0%

002125.SZ

Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co.,Ltd

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$15.05

+0.24 (+1.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.05Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $286.2M · quality 66.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 002125.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.5B

P/E

36.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.4x

↑

ROE

7.1%

↑

Gross Margin

21.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$15
$10$18

TradingView lightweight chart

002125.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.05Periodo +185.4%
Fair value: $15.05

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.9%

FCF CAGR

+41.9%

FCF margin

8.3%

FCF / Net income

0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.92B · net income $225.4M · FCF $158.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

9.9%-5.5% pts

Net margin

11.7%-7.0% pts

FCF margin

8.3%+5.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.92B$1.92B$1.91B$2.16B$2.10B
Net Income$225.4M$225.4M$315.0M$352.3M$394.2M
EBITDA$485.7M$485.7M$593.3M$632.7M$660.5M
EPS0.350.350.500.560.63
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%27.5%21.6%26.5%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%16.3%13.0%15.4%
Net Margin11.7%11.7%16.5%16.3%18.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.430.530.66
Current Ratio2.042.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$158.7M$158.7M$286.2M$295.3M$55.5M
Returns
ROE7.1%7.1%10.5%12.7%16.7%
Valuation
P/E36.7136.7119.3418.8022.62
EV/EBITDA21.4221.4211.6112.0215.43
P/B3.073.072.032.383.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.5%0.5%-11.6%3.0%—
EPS Growth-30.0%-30.0%-10.7%-11.1%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

56.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

-86.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

35.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.62

Spread vs growth

-65.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.60

Spread vs growth

-52.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.4%

Total return

+50.4%

Start / end P/E

20.2x → 43.0x

EPS bridge

0.50 → 0.35

Residual

-34.0%

EPS growth-30.0%
Multiple rerating+113.3%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.