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002211.SZ$3.73-1.84%
Fair $3.73+0.0%

002211.SZ

Shanghai Hongda New Material Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$3.73

-0.07 (-1.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.73Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-16.2M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -31.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002211.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Hongda New Material Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

1793.5x

↑

ROE

-31.9%

↓

Gross Margin

9.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

002211.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.730Periodo -69.5%
Fair value: $3.730

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.1%

FCF CAGR

-26.6%

FCF margin

4.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $472.9M · net income $-14.8M · FCF $21.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.3%+5.9% pts

Operating margin

-0.5%+10.7% pts

Net margin

-3.1%-14.0% pts

FCF margin

4.5%-10.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$472.9M$472.9M$347.5M$234.8M$364.6M
Net Income$-14.8M$-14.8M$-39.0M$-29.4M$39.6M
EBITDA$811485.09$811485.09$-25.9M$-16.7M$55.9M
EPS-0.03-0.03-0.09-0.070.09
Gross Margin9.3%9.3%6.6%5.8%3.4%
Operating Margin-0.5%-0.5%-4.4%-8.2%-11.2%
Net Margin-3.1%-3.1%-11.2%-12.5%10.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.471.150.040.04
Current Ratio0.970.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.4M$21.4M$-22.2M$-16.2M$54.2M
Returns
ROE-31.9%-31.9%-161.2%-46.4%42.8%
Valuation
P/E————26.86
EV/EBITDA1793.491793.49——15.89
P/B34.7734.7759.2627.6811.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth36.1%36.1%48.0%-35.6%—
EPS Growth62.1%62.1%-33.0%-174.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.7%

Total return

+34.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.09 → -0.03

Residual

+34.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.