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002501.SZ$1.50+4.90%
Fair $1.50+0.0%

002501.SZ

Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / AluminumShenzhen

$1.50

+0.07 (+4.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.50Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 3/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-227.1M · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

3/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002501.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-103.0%

↓

Gross Margin

-11.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.07

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

002501.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.500Periodo -75.8%
Fair value: $1.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-23.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-71.3%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $223.6M · net income $-178.5M · FCF $-159.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-11.9%+4.9% pts

Operating margin

-39.3%-4.2% pts

Net margin

-79.8%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-71.3%-21.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$223.6M$223.6M$333.6M$476.9M$508.1M
Net Income$-178.5M$-178.5M$-718.1M$-181.3M$-406.2M
EBITDA$-127.3M$-127.3M$-622.5M$-57.0M$-266.5M
EPS-0.05-0.05-0.20-0.05-0.11
Gross Margin-11.9%-11.9%-13.4%-10.3%-16.8%
Operating Margin-39.3%-39.3%-32.8%-26.1%-35.1%
Net Margin-79.8%-79.8%-215.3%-38.0%-79.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.071.070.330.190.19
Current Ratio0.490.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-159.5M$-159.5M$-227.1M$-285.0M$-255.7M
Returns
ROE-103.0%-103.0%-204.6%-16.9%-32.4%
Valuation
P/B30.9130.9115.854.695.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-33.0%-33.0%-30.1%-6.1%—
EPS Growth75.0%75.0%-300.0%54.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.2%

Total return

-37.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.20 → -0.05

Residual

-37.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.