Basic Materials / AluminumShenzhen
$5.58
+0.09 (+1.64%)
FCF base 3Y
n/d
n/d CAGR · yield n/d
FCF base 5Y
n/d
n/d base · n/d expected
Precio de entrada
n/d
MOS 34% · confianza 18%
FCF escenarios
weak_data · normalized FCF $120.6M · quality 46.0/100
Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.
SA Score
43/100
C
Piotroski
2/9
balance/quality
Valuation
50/100
+0.0% upside
5Y CAGR
+0.0%
50/100
Data QA
16/100
SEC 0%
Sin guardar todavía.
Market Cap
$7.0B
P/E
19.2x
↑EV/EBITDA
10.3x
↓ROE
8.3%
↑Gross Margin
13.2%
↓Debt/Equity
0.26
↑TradingView lightweight chart
Absolute Values (Left Axis)
Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)
Financial statement dashboard
2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado
Revenue CAGR
+7.3%
FCF CAGR
—
FCF margin
1.6%
FCF / Net income
0.26x
Latest source
Provider fallback
Margin decomposition
Último año: revenue $7.43B · net income $462.9M · FCF $120.6M
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
FCF margin
| Metric | TTM | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | |||||
| Revenue | $7.43B | $7.43B | $7.11B | $6.73B | $6.02B |
| Net Income | $462.9M | $462.9M | $565.4M | $676.1M | $458.1M |
| EBITDA | $780.7M | $780.7M | $883.5M | $971.5M | $705.7M |
| EPS | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.55 | 0.37 |
| Gross Margin | 13.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| Operating Margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Net Margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Balance Sheet | |||||
| Debt/Equity | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| Current Ratio | 3.34 | 3.34 | — | — | — |
| Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | $120.6M | $120.6M | $190.5M | $-71.0M | $-436.6M |
| Returns | |||||
| ROE | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Valuation | |||||
| P/E | 19.24 | 19.24 | 14.97 | 9.63 | 20.46 |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.29 | 10.29 | 9.90 | 5.94 | 12.69 |
| P/B | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 1.87 |
| Growth & Yield | |||||
| Revenue Growth | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 11.8% | — |
| EPS Growth | -19.7% | -19.7% | -20.4% | 47.8% | — |
| Dividend Yield | 5.4% | 5.4% | — | — | — |
Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)
Margins (%)
Returns (%)
Leverage & Liquidity
3Y implied EPS CAGR
12.3%
EPS terminal req.
$0.50
Spread vs growth
-32.0%
5Y implied EPS CAGR
11.4%
EPS terminal req.
$0.60
Spread vs growth
-31.1%
10Y implied EPS CAGR
10.7%
EPS terminal req.
$0.96
Spread vs growth
-30.4%
Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.
Total return
-4.0%
Start / end P/E
14.2x → 16.0x
EPS bridge
0.43 → 0.35
Residual
-2.5%
Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.