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002556.SZ$5.25-1.69%
Fair $5.25+0.0%

002556.SZ

Anhui Huilong Agricultural Means of Production Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShenzhen

$5.25

-0.09 (-1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.25Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-415.6M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 002556.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Huilong Agricultural Means of Production Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

29.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↓

ROE

5.4%

↑

Gross Margin

6.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.71

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$7

TradingView lightweight chart

002556.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.340Periodo -33.7%
Fair value: $5.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

+1.1%

FCF margin

6.6%

FCF / Net income

5.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.13B · net income $193.7M · FCF $1.00B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.3%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

2.2%-1.5% pts

Net margin

1.3%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

6.6%+1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.13B$15.13B$15.65B$17.83B$18.25B
Net Income$193.7M$193.7M$168.9M$76.5M$510.5M
EBITDA$622.0M$622.0M$610.1M$500.4M$944.1M
EPS0.210.210.180.080.53
Gross Margin6.3%6.3%5.8%4.8%7.4%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%1.6%1.1%3.7%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%1.1%0.4%2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.710.710.820.860.48
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.00B$1.00B$-415.6M$-929.8M$968.8M
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%4.6%2.1%12.5%
Valuation
P/E29.1729.1729.2871.5016.89
EV/EBITDA10.0410.0411.4315.049.66
P/B1.341.341.361.482.11
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.3%-3.3%-12.2%-2.3%—
EPS Growth16.7%16.7%125.0%-84.9%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

-13.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.56

Spread vs growth

-5.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.91

Spread vs growth

0.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.9%

Total return

-0.9%

Start / end P/E

30.9x → 25.0x

EPS bridge

0.18 → 0.21

Residual

-3.2%

EPS growth+16.7%
Multiple rerating-19.1%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.