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002741.SZ$27.12-0.84%
Fair $27.12+0.0%

002741.SZ

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$27.12

-0.23 (-0.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.12Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-73.2M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 002741.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.6B

P/E

108.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

51.8x

↑

ROE

5.4%

↑

Gross Margin

13.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.41

↑
52-Week Range$27
$15$31

TradingView lightweight chart

002741.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.35Periodo +362.8%
Fair value: $27.12

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.96B · net income $103.9M · FCF $-73.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.8%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-0.4% pts

Net margin

3.5%-0.0% pts

FCF margin

-2.5%+3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.96B$2.96B$2.59B$2.70B$3.30B
Net Income$103.9M$103.9M$-204.9M$-430.7M$116.9M
EBITDA$248.3M$248.3M$-32.3M$-327.7M$234.4M
EPS0.220.22-0.51-1.080.29
Gross Margin13.8%13.8%9.3%2.2%15.3%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%-2.6%-9.6%4.5%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%-7.9%-16.0%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.410.640.52
Current Ratio1.391.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-73.2M$-73.2M$-84.7M$22.0M$-180.7M
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%-11.2%-32.0%6.6%
Valuation
P/E108.48108.48——64.66
EV/EBITDA51.8151.81——34.78
P/B6.616.613.504.154.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.5%14.5%-4.1%-18.3%—
EPS Growth143.1%143.1%52.8%-472.4%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

122.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.41

Spread vs growth

21.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

67.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.91

Spread vs growth

75.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

35.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.69

Spread vs growth

107.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +77.9%

Total return

+77.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.51 → 0.22

Residual

+77.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+77.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.