StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
002810.SZ$23.64+4.00%
Fair $23.64+0.0%

002810.SZ

Shandong Head Group Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$23.64

+0.91 (+4.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $23.64Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $137.4M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 002810.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Head Group Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.3B

P/E

42.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.4x

↑

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

25.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$24
$11$30

TradingView lightweight chart

002810.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $23.64Periodo +440.7%
Fair value: $23.64

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.91B · net income $141.7M · FCF $137.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.9%-8.3% pts

Operating margin

13.3%-8.0% pts

Net margin

7.4%-13.1% pts

FCF margin

7.2%+17.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.91B$1.91B$1.96B$1.56B$1.72B
Net Income$141.7M$141.7M$221.6M$220.2M$353.8M
EBITDA$458.7M$458.7M$548.0M$438.8M$522.4M
EPS0.400.400.630.641.03
Gross Margin25.9%25.9%27.0%29.3%34.2%
Operating Margin13.3%13.3%14.6%15.8%21.3%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%11.3%14.2%20.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.420.380.32
Current Ratio1.941.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$137.4M$137.4M$190.6M$76.9M$-170.0M
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%10.0%10.5%18.8%
Valuation
P/E42.2142.2118.9231.7323.39
EV/EBITDA19.4219.428.4417.1916.71
P/B3.823.821.903.344.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.3%-2.3%25.7%-9.7%—
EPS Growth-36.5%-36.5%-1.6%-37.9%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

73.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.10

Spread vs growth

-110.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

44.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.54

Spread vs growth

-81.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.09

Spread vs growth

-62.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +98.4%

Total return

+98.4%

Start / end P/E

19.0x → 59.1x

EPS bridge

0.63 → 0.40

Residual

-77.0%

EPS growth-36.5%
Multiple rerating+210.8%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-77.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.