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002893.SZ$12.73+1.52%
Fair $12.73+0.0%

002893.SZ

Beijing Jingneng Thermal Co., Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricShenzhen

$12.73

+0.19 (+1.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.73Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $208.9M · quality 67.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002893.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Jingneng Thermal Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

50.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.9x

↑

ROE

5.1%

↑

Gross Margin

21.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.35

↓
52-Week Range$13
$10$15

TradingView lightweight chart

002893.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.73Periodo +74.5%
Fair value: $12.73

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

-68.6%

FCF margin

0.4%

FCF / Net income

0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.33B · net income $62.3M · FCF $5.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.4%+6.3% pts

Operating margin

13.1%+3.8% pts

Net margin

4.7%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

0.4%-16.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.33B$1.33B$1.07B$1.09B$1.03B
Net Income$62.3M$62.3M$66.8M$54.6M$30.9M
EBITDA$190.1M$190.1M$169.6M$178.4M$166.8M
EPS0.240.240.250.260.15
Gross Margin21.4%21.4%19.7%16.4%15.1%
Operating Margin13.1%13.1%13.0%10.8%9.3%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%6.2%5.0%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.280.360.77
Current Ratio1.481.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.5M$5.5M$208.9M$243.7M$176.3M
Returns
ROE5.1%5.1%5.7%4.8%4.7%
Valuation
P/E50.9250.9237.9642.6557.53
EV/EBITDA14.9114.9111.3710.7711.96
P/B2.712.712.142.052.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.6%24.6%-1.4%5.5%—
EPS Growth-4.0%-4.0%-3.8%73.3%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

67.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.13

Spread vs growth

-71.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.37

Spread vs growth

-45.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.20

Spread vs growth

-28.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.3%

Total return

+19.3%

Start / end P/E

43.0x → 53.0x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.24

Residual

-0.9%

EPS growth-4.0%
Multiple rerating+23.5%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.