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002909.SZ$5.97+3.47%
Fair $5.97+0.0%

002909.SZ

Guangzhou Jointas Chemical Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$5.97

+0.20 (+3.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.97Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-11.5M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002909.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Jointas Chemical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

40.4x

↑

ROE

-3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

25.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$6
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

002909.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.970Periodo +52.2%
Fair value: $5.970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.0%

FCF / Net income

5.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.09B · net income $-27.7M · FCF $-141.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.6%+4.1% pts

Operating margin

2.0%-1.5% pts

Net margin

-2.6%-3.3% pts

FCF margin

-13.0%+8.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.09B$1.09B$1.28B$1.33B$1.45B
Net Income$-27.7M$-27.7M$19.3M$10.2M$10.2M
EBITDA$71.9M$71.9M$103.7M$99.8M$85.1M
EPS-0.07-0.070.050.030.03
Gross Margin25.6%25.6%25.3%25.1%21.5%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%4.9%3.7%3.5%
Net Margin-2.6%-2.6%1.5%0.8%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.650.670.61
Current Ratio0.590.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-141.1M$-141.1M$90.8M$-11.5M$-304.1M
Returns
ROE-3.2%-3.2%2.0%1.2%1.2%
Valuation
P/E——95.51285.56346.30
EV/EBITDA40.4140.4121.5433.4745.23
P/B2.662.661.943.434.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%-3.6%-8.1%—
EPS Growth-246.9%-246.9%81.5%0.0%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.2%

Total return

-19.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.05 → -0.07

Residual

-20.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.