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002986.SZ$11.91+1.69%
Fair $11.91+0.0%

002986.SZ

Guangdong Yussen Energy Technology Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$11.91

+0.20 (+1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.91Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-983.1M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002986.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Yussen Energy Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

16.8x

↑

ROE

-1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

8.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.10

↑
52-Week Range$12
$10$18

TradingView lightweight chart

002986.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.02Periodo -42.7%
Fair value: $11.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.1%

FCF / Net income

25.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.16B · net income $-39.2M · FCF $-983.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.8%-4.1% pts

Operating margin

1.0%-6.9% pts

Net margin

-0.5%-7.4% pts

FCF margin

-12.1%-6.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.16B$8.16B$7.70B$6.61B$6.26B
Net Income$-39.2M$-39.2M$307.0M$453.8M$430.3M
EBITDA$462.9M$462.9M$653.7M$770.8M$667.4M
EPS-0.10-0.100.811.451.38
Gross Margin8.8%8.8%18.3%16.6%12.8%
Operating Margin1.0%1.0%5.0%8.3%7.9%
Net Margin-0.5%-0.5%4.0%6.9%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.101.100.650.350.25
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-983.1M$-983.1M$-1.90B$-569.6M$-381.0M
Returns
ROE-1.0%-1.0%7.6%12.1%17.6%
Valuation
P/E——13.7410.7111.38
EV/EBITDA16.8316.839.336.127.33
P/B1.191.191.041.292.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.9%5.9%16.5%5.5%—
EPS Growth-112.5%-112.5%-44.0%5.2%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.0%

Total return

+13.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.81 → -0.10

Residual

+10.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.