StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
002996.SZ$6.97-0.29%
Fair $6.97+0.0%

002996.SZ

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / AluminumShenzhen

$6.97

-0.02 (-0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.97Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-547.5M · quality 22.3/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.85, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002996.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

21.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.3x

↑

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

2.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.85

↑
52-Week Range$7
$7$9

TradingView lightweight chart

002996.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.970Periodo -25.2%
Fair value: $6.970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.4%

FCF / Net income

-2.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.99B · net income $221.6M · FCF $-547.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.6%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-0.6% pts

Net margin

1.4%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

-3.4%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.99B$15.99B$13.98B$11.94B$11.07B
Net Income$221.6M$221.6M$55.8M$124.9M$199.8M
EBITDA$544.1M$544.1M$361.4M$353.0M$414.9M
EPS0.310.310.080.210.35
Gross Margin2.6%2.6%3.1%3.0%2.8%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%2.9%2.2%3.2%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%0.4%1.0%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.852.852.341.581.07
Current Ratio1.191.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-547.5M$-547.5M$-13.4M$-848.8M$-43.9M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%1.8%4.8%8.1%
Valuation
P/E21.1221.1278.8739.7429.09
EV/EBITDA21.2821.2827.2923.2618.50
P/B1.511.511.391.932.37
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.4%14.4%17.0%7.9%—
EPS Growth287.5%287.5%-61.9%-40.7%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.62

Spread vs growth

261.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.75

Spread vs growth

268.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.21

Spread vs growth

273.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.0%

Total return

+2.0%

Start / end P/E

86.8x → 22.5x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.31

Residual

-213.0%

EPS growth+287.5%
Multiple rerating-74.1%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-213.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.