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003039.SZ$13.16+1.94%
Fair $13.16+0.0%

003039.SZ

Guangdong Shunkong Development Co.,Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated WaterShenzhen

$13.16

+0.25 (+1.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.16Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-19.4M · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 003039.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Shunkong Development Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

25.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.3x

↑

ROE

10.5%

↑

Gross Margin

43.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$13
$13$19

TradingView lightweight chart

003039.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.16Periodo +55.9%
Fair value: $13.16

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.23B · net income $303.8M · FCF $-19.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.9%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

27.7%-3.9% pts

Net margin

13.6%-4.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.9%-19.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.23B$2.23B$1.84B$1.46B$1.32B
Net Income$303.8M$303.8M$267.9M$243.6M$238.6M
EBITDA$996.0M$996.0M$877.5M$686.7M$662.1M
EPS0.490.490.430.390.39
Gross Margin43.9%43.9%43.3%42.8%45.2%
Operating Margin27.7%27.7%31.1%30.1%31.7%
Net Margin13.6%13.6%14.6%16.7%18.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.010.850.410.30
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-19.4M$-19.4M$-43.5M$262.8M$240.4M
Returns
ROE10.5%10.5%9.8%9.5%9.9%
Valuation
P/E25.8025.8028.5338.2644.63
EV/EBITDA10.2610.2610.6713.8815.71
P/B2.802.802.793.624.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.2%21.2%26.3%10.3%—
EPS Growth13.4%13.4%10.0%2.1%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.17

Spread vs growth

-20.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.41

Spread vs growth

-10.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.28

Spread vs growth

-3.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.1%

Total return

-4.1%

Start / end P/E

32.2x → 26.7x

EPS bridge

0.43 → 0.49

Residual

-2.2%

EPS growth+13.4%
Multiple rerating-16.8%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.