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Recent

v0.1
0103.HK$2.09-3.24%
Fair $2.09+0.0%

0103.HK

Shougang Century Holdings Limited

Basic Materials / SteelHKSE

$2.09

-0.07 (-3.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.09Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $15.9M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 2.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0103.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Shougang Century Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

19.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↓

ROE

2.8%

↑

Gross Margin

15.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.38

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

0103.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.090Periodo +93.5%
Fair value: $2.090

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.5%

FCF CAGR

-30.3%

FCF margin

0.7%

FCF / Net income

0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.42B · net income $54.2M · FCF $15.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.3%+1.9% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-1.3% pts

Net margin

2.2%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

0.7%-1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.42B$2.42B$2.40B$2.49B$2.46B
Net Income$54.2M$54.2M$31.6M$62.5M$47.9M
EBITDA$149.9M$149.9M$153.3M$195.6M$188.8M
EPS0.110.110.080.030.02
Gross Margin15.3%15.3%13.6%15.0%13.4%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%1.7%3.7%3.0%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%1.3%2.5%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.330.290.35
Current Ratio1.321.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$15.9M$15.9M$109.2M$-4.9M$46.9M
Returns
ROE2.8%2.8%1.8%3.7%2.9%
Valuation
P/E19.0019.0028.5744.3466.96
EV/EBITDA8.048.047.3014.4516.57
P/B0.540.540.511.431.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.1%1.1%-3.9%1.2%—
EPS Growth40.6%40.6%190.6%55.0%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

21.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

25.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.36

Spread vs growth

27.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.5%

Total return

+4.5%

Start / end P/E

26.9x → 19.3x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.11

Residual

-11.5%

EPS growth+40.6%
Multiple rerating-28.4%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.