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0133.HK$21.80-8.33%
Fair $21.80+0.0%

0133.HK

China Merchants China Direct Investments Limited

Financial Services / Asset ManagementHKSE

$21.80

-1.98 (-8.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.80Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 0133.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Merchants China Direct Investments Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

2.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

22.8%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$22
$13$29

TradingView lightweight chart

0133.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.80Periodo +1182.4%
Fair value: $21.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+10.0%

FCF margin

6.7%

FCF / Net income

0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $250.7M · net income $189.9M · FCF $16.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

75.8%-7.1% pts

FCF margin

6.7%+13.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$250.7M$250.7M$160.4M$10.4M$-184.8M
Net Income$189.9M$189.9M$120.4M$5.7M$-153.2M
EPS1.251.250.790.04-1.00
Net Margin75.8%75.8%75.0%55.1%82.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio3.503.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.9M$16.9M$41.5M$-5.8M$12.7M
Returns
ROE22.8%22.8%18.6%1.0%-26.8%
Valuation
P/E2.232.2317.34201.32—
P/B3.983.983.222.092.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth56.2%56.2%1444.9%105.6%—
EPS Growth57.8%57.8%1978.9%103.8%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.93

Spread vs growth

42.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.34

Spread vs growth

44.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.77

Spread vs growth

46.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +64.2%

Total return

+64.2%

Start / end P/E

17.1x → 17.5x

EPS bridge

0.79 → 1.25

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growth+57.8%
Multiple rerating+2.2%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.