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v0.1
0851.HK$0.18-5.76%
Fair $0.18+0.0%

0851.HK

Sheng Yuan Holdings Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsHKSE

$0.18

-0.01 (-5.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.18Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 0851.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Sheng Yuan Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$159M

P/E

18.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

7.7%

↑

Gross Margin

11.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0851.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.180Periodo -95.3%
Fair value: $0.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+27.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $112.1M · net income $9.7M · FCF $-13.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.8%-67.9% pts

Operating margin

7.6%+0.1% pts

Net margin

8.6%+19.4% pts

FCF margin

-11.9%-31.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$112.1M$112.1M$44.5M$11.2M$53.9M
Net Income$9.7M$9.7M$31.9M$-27.8M$-5.8M
EBITDA$12.1M$12.1M$37.6M$-20.8M$8.8M
EPS0.010.010.04-0.04-0.02
Gross Margin11.8%11.8%82.9%10.4%79.7%
Operating Margin7.6%7.6%73.4%-219.4%7.5%
Net Margin8.6%8.6%71.7%-248.2%-10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.05-4.08
Current Ratio3.153.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.4M$-13.4M$36.6M$-30.8M$10.7M
Returns
ROE7.7%7.7%27.3%-32.8%15.6%
Valuation
P/E18.0018.006.46——
EV/EBITDA6.126.124.39—19.09
P/B1.261.261.772.95—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth151.9%151.9%297.7%-79.2%—
EPS Growth-69.6%-69.6%190.5%-163.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-82.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-81.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-80.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.0%

Total return

+0.0%

Start / end P/E

5.0x → 16.4x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.01

Residual

-159.5%

EPS growth-69.6%
Multiple rerating+229.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-159.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.