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0863.HK$11.88+4.95%
Fair $11.88+0.0%

0863.HK

OSL Group Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsHKSE

$11.88

+0.56 (+4.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.88Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -11.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0863.HKLocal privado en este navegador · OSL Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-11.8%

↓

Gross Margin

16.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$12
$10$20

TradingView lightweight chart

0863.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.88Periodo +476.7%
Fair value: $11.88

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+89.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-315.3%

FCF / Net income

3.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $488.8M · net income $-386.8M · FCF $-1.54B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.5%-81.6% pts

Operating margin

-86.7%+686.8% pts

Net margin

-79.1%+677.8% pts

FCF margin

-315.3%-552.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$488.8M$488.8M$374.7M$209.8M$71.5M
Net Income$-386.8M$-386.8M$47.7M$-263.9M$-541.0M
EBITDA$-357.0M$-357.0M$82.8M$-185.8M$-486.2M
EPS-0.57-0.570.08-0.61-1.28
Gross Margin16.5%16.5%48.2%15.9%98.2%
Operating Margin-86.7%-86.7%3.9%-80.8%-773.5%
Net Margin-79.1%-79.1%12.7%-125.7%-756.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.050.040.21
Current Ratio3.163.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.54B$-1.54B$-322.8M$-686.4M$169.2M
Returns
ROE-11.8%-11.8%3.7%-64.1%-80.5%
Valuation
P/E——101.25——
EV/EBITDA——53.48——
P/B2.462.463.8710.821.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth30.4%30.4%78.6%193.6%—
EPS Growth-812.5%-812.5%113.1%52.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.2%

Total return

-6.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.08 → -0.57

Residual

-6.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.