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v0.1
0990.HK$0.78+1.30%
Fair $0.78+0.0%

0990.HK

Deep Source Holdings Limited

Basic Materials / SteelHKSE

$0.78

+0.01 (+1.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.78Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.1B · quality 75.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 0990.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Deep Source Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.5B

P/E

15.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.5x

↓

ROE

9.8%

↑

Gross Margin

3.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0990.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.780Periodo +3242.0%
Fair value: $0.780

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-18.3%

FCF CAGR

-38.3%

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

2.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.35B · net income $719.7M · FCF $1.56B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.8%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-1.8% pts

Net margin

3.4%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

7.3%-9.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$21.35B$21.35B$40.91B$55.38B$39.09B
Net Income$719.7M$719.7M$296.2M$1.20B$1.21B
EBITDA$989.6M$989.6M$488.9M$1.58B$1.81B
EPS0.050.050.020.090.09
Gross Margin3.8%3.8%2.5%3.2%5.3%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%1.4%2.4%4.2%
Net Margin3.4%3.4%0.7%2.2%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.030.000.04
Current Ratio1.391.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.56B$1.56B$4.38B$3.06B$6.62B
Returns
ROE9.8%9.8%4.8%19.4%26.3%
Valuation
P/E15.6015.6017.275.168.37
EV/EBITDA9.549.546.362.234.17
P/B1.481.480.841.002.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-47.8%-47.8%-26.1%41.7%—
EPS Growth135.5%135.5%-75.3%-0.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

125.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

125.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

125.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +79.3%

Total return

+79.3%

Start / end P/E

19.8x → 15.1x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.05

Residual

-32.3%

EPS growth+135.5%
Multiple rerating-23.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.