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v0.1
1001.HK$0.43+1.16%
Fair $0.43+0.0%

1001.HK

Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Limited

Basic Materials / SteelHKSE

$0.43

+0.00 (+1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.43Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $211.1M · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 1001.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$277M

P/E

3.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

9.0%

↑

Gross Margin

16.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.13

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1001.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.435Periodo -74.8%
Fair value: $0.435

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.1%

FCF CAGR

+47.7%

FCF margin

10.6%

FCF / Net income

2.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.11B · net income $89.6M · FCF $224.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.4%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

8.7%+3.3% pts

Net margin

4.2%+1.9% pts

FCF margin

10.6%+8.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.11B$2.11B$2.30B$2.66B$2.81B
Net Income$89.6M$89.6M$78.8M$82.8M$65.5M
EBITDA$159.9M$159.9M$192.0M$184.4M$158.2M
EPS0.140.140.120.130.10
Gross Margin16.4%16.4%16.7%13.2%12.1%
Operating Margin8.7%8.7%9.1%6.8%5.4%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%3.4%3.1%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.131.131.371.501.54
Current Ratio0.920.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$224.2M$224.2M$211.1M$420000.00$69.6M
Returns
ROE9.0%9.0%8.4%8.6%6.6%
Valuation
P/E3.113.112.023.173.86
EV/EBITDA7.697.696.798.4210.02
P/B0.280.280.170.270.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.3%-8.3%-13.4%-5.3%—
EPS Growth14.2%14.2%-4.9%26.6%—
Dividend Yield8.1%8.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-35.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

49.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-19.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

34.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

20.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.1%

Total return

+24.1%

Start / end P/E

3.0x → 3.1x

EPS bridge

0.12 → 0.14

Residual

+0.2%

EPS growth+14.2%
Multiple rerating+1.6%
Dividend+8.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.