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1053.HK$0.99+2.06%
Fair $0.99+0.0%

1053.HK

Chongqing Iron & Steel Company Limited

Basic Materials / SteelHKSE

$0.99

+0.02 (+2.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.99Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $543.8M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -19.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1053.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Chongqing Iron & Steel Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-19.6%

↓

Gross Margin

0.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.43

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1053.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.990Periodo +213.9%
Fair value: $0.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $24.00B · net income $-2.72B · FCF $651.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

0.8%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%+1.0% pts

Net margin

-11.3%-8.6% pts

FCF margin

2.7%+6.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$24.00B$24.00B$27.24B$39.32B$36.56B
Net Income$-2.72B$-2.72B$-3.20B$-1.49B$-1.02B
EBITDA$-763.6M$-763.6M$-1.35B$218.4M$565.8M
EPS-0.31-0.31-0.36-0.17-0.11
Gross Margin0.8%0.8%-5.0%-1.7%-0.1%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%-6.9%-3.2%-1.6%
Net Margin-11.3%-11.3%-11.7%-3.8%-2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.430.430.410.300.30
Current Ratio0.360.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$651.7M$651.7M$543.8M$205.7M$-1.22B
Returns
ROE-19.6%-19.6%-19.2%-7.5%-4.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA———46.6018.98
P/B0.630.630.450.310.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.9%-11.9%-30.7%7.5%—
EPS Growth13.9%13.9%-111.8%-54.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.1%

Total return

+15.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.36 → -0.31

Residual

+15.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+15.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.