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1205.HK$0.54+0.00%
Fair $0.54+0.0%

1205.HK

CITIC Resources Holdings Limited

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningHKSE

$0.54

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.54Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $385.3M · quality 61.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1205.HKLocal privado en este navegador · CITIC Resources Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

27.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

1.9%

↑

Gross Margin

2.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.40

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1205.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.540Periodo -51.5%
Fair value: $0.540

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+36.6%

FCF CAGR

-39.2%

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

2.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.96B · net income $170.6M · FCF $368.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.9%-28.3% pts

Operating margin

1.3%-23.8% pts

Net margin

1.1%-21.6% pts

FCF margin

2.5%-25.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.96B$14.96B$9.50B$3.83B$5.87B
Net Income$170.6M$170.6M$572.6M$551.8M$1.34B
EBITDA$925.8M$925.8M$1.45B$1.32B$2.48B
EPS0.020.020.070.070.17
Gross Margin2.9%2.9%7.7%26.2%31.3%
Operating Margin1.3%1.3%4.7%18.9%25.1%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%6.0%14.4%22.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.250.240.34
Current Ratio1.631.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$368.2M$368.2M$385.3M$742.3M$1.64B
Returns
ROE1.9%1.9%7.1%7.1%17.2%
Valuation
P/E27.0027.004.875.062.47
EV/EBITDA4.544.541.912.381.54
P/B0.480.480.350.360.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth57.6%57.6%148.3%-34.8%—
EPS Growth-70.2%-70.2%3.8%-58.7%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

-100.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

-92.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

-85.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +48.8%

Total return

+48.8%

Start / end P/E

5.1x → 24.9x

EPS bridge

0.07 → 0.02

Residual

-269.5%

EPS growth-70.2%
Multiple rerating+383.8%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-269.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.