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1288.HK$5.86+1.74%
Fair $5.86+0.0%

1288.HK

Agricultural Bank of China Limited

Financial Services / Banks - DiversifiedHKSE

$5.86

+0.10 (+1.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.86Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 91/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1288.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Agricultural Bank of China Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.05T

P/E

6.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

9.0%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

1.12

↑
52-Week Range$6
$5$6

TradingView lightweight chart

1288.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.860Periodo +79.2%
Fair value: $5.860

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.4%

FCF CAGR

+17.1%

FCF margin

288.0%

FCF / Net income

7.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $724.17B · net income $291.04B · FCF $2.09T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

40.2%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

288.0%+100.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$724.17B$724.17B$710.48B$694.64B$694.59B
Net Income$291.04B$291.04B$282.08B$269.36B$259.23B
EPS0.780.780.750.720.69
Net Margin40.2%40.2%39.7%38.8%37.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.121.120.980.930.83
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2085.56B$2085.56B$1328.82B$1796.45B$1299.91B
Returns
ROE9.0%9.0%9.1%9.3%9.7%
Valuation
P/E6.376.375.674.193.99
P/B0.680.680.520.390.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.9%1.9%2.3%0.0%—
EPS Growth4.0%4.0%4.2%4.3%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.52

Spread vs growth

16.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.63

Spread vs growth

8.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.01

Spread vs growth

1.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.3%

Total return

+23.3%

Start / end P/E

6.6x → 7.5x

EPS bridge

0.75 → 0.78

Residual

+0.6%

EPS growth+4.0%
Multiple rerating+13.8%
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.