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1299.HK$82.00-0.30%
Fair $82.00+0.0%

1299.HK

AIA Group Limited

Financial Services / Insurance - LifeHKSE

$82.00

-0.25 (-0.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $82.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 4/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1299.HKLocal privado en este navegador · AIA Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$848.9B

P/E

17.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

14.4%

↑

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$82
$63$92

TradingView lightweight chart

1299.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $82.00Periodo +255.7%
Fair value: $82.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

-10.9%

FCF margin

17.0%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $39.60B · net income $6.23B · FCF $6.71B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

15.7%+37.6% pts

FCF margin

17.0%+79.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$39.60B$39.60B$31.25B$30.09B$-15.24B
Net Income$6.23B$6.23B$6.84B$3.76B$3.33B
EPS——0.620.330.28
Net Margin15.7%15.7%21.9%12.5%-21.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.340.300.26
Current Ratio1.961.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.71B$6.71B$3.03B$10.59B$9.48B
Returns
ROE14.4%14.4%16.9%9.2%7.5%
Valuation
P/E17.7517.7589.52195.15315.00
P/B19.8419.8415.1818.0623.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.7%26.7%3.9%297.4%—
EPS Growth——87.9%17.9%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.8%

Total return

+28.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.62 → n/d

Residual

+26.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.