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1315.HK$0.11+0.00%
Fair $0.11+0.0%

1315.HK

Green Economy Development Limited

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsHKSE

$0.11

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.11Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $51.7M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1315.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Green Economy Development Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$69M

P/E

2.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

10.4%

↑

Gross Margin

2.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.41

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

1315.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.111Periodo -98.2%
Fair value: $0.111

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.8%

FCF CAGR

+36.0%

FCF margin

2.0%

FCF / Net income

3.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.83B · net income $15.4M · FCF $57.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.1%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

1.1%-0.5% pts

Net margin

0.5%+0.9% pts

FCF margin

2.0%+1.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.83B$2.83B$2.93B$2.46B$3.99B
Net Income$15.4M$15.4M$18.2M$-85.3M$-13.6M
EBITDA$52.3M$52.3M$52.4M$-31.9M$69.9M
EPS0.030.030.05-0.22-0.04
Gross Margin2.1%2.1%2.9%0.5%2.9%
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%1.3%-1.7%1.5%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%0.6%-3.5%-0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.411.411.942.171.28
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$57.9M$57.9M$51.7M$-15.2M$23.0M
Returns
ROE10.4%10.4%16.8%-88.0%-7.6%
Valuation
P/E2.772.771.88——
EV/EBITDA2.552.553.01—3.68
P/B0.460.460.321.100.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.4%-3.4%19.1%-38.3%—
EPS Growth-48.7%-48.7%121.9%-481.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-26.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

-21.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

-34.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-46.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.9%

Total return

+9.9%

Start / end P/E

2.1x → 4.4x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.03

Residual

-55.5%

EPS growth-48.7%
Multiple rerating+114.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-55.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.