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1376.T$1368.00-1.01%
Fair $1368.00+0.0%

1376.T

Kaneko Seeds Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsTokyo

$1368.00

-14.00 (-1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1368.00Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1B · quality 27.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1376.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kaneko Seeds Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.0B

P/E

11.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

4.8%

↑

Gross Margin

14.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1368
$1350$1859

TradingView lightweight chart

1376.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,368Periodo +64.8%
Fair value: $1,368

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $64.51B · net income $1.20B · FCF $-1.14B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.8%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

2.3%-0.7% pts

Net margin

1.9%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.8%-1.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$64.51B$64.51B$61.60B$62.18B$60.69B
Net Income$1.20B$1.20B$1.18B$1.43B$1.30B
EBITDA$2.15B$2.15B$2.03B$2.36B$2.22B
EPS107.01107.01103.28123.63111.83
Gross Margin14.8%14.8%15.4%15.3%15.6%
Operating Margin2.3%2.3%2.4%2.9%3.0%
Net Margin1.9%1.9%1.9%2.3%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.681.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.14B$-1.14B$1.55B$-1.99B$-150.8M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%4.8%6.1%5.8%
Valuation
P/E11.7711.7713.5411.7816.02
EV/EBITDA6.256.256.076.077.11
P/B0.610.610.650.710.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.7%4.7%-0.9%2.5%—
EPS Growth3.6%3.6%-16.5%10.6%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$121.39

Spread vs growth

-0.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$146.88

Spread vs growth

-2.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$236.55

Spread vs growth

-4.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.0%

Total return

+0.0%

Start / end P/E

13.7x → 12.8x

EPS bridge

103.28 → 107.01

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth+3.6%
Multiple rerating-6.8%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.