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1461.HK$0.53+0.00%
Fair $0.53+0.0%

1461.HK

Zhongtai Futures Company Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsHKSE

$0.53

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.53Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 17.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1461.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Zhongtai Futures Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$531M

P/E

5.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1461.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.530Periodo -78.8%
Fair value: $0.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-34.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-329.2%

FCF / Net income

-26.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $688.0M · net income $85.5M · FCF $-2.26B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

12.4%+5.6% pts

FCF margin

-329.2%-569.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$688.0M$688.0M$589.8M$2.15B$2.44B
Net Income$85.5M$85.5M$4.5M$133.7M$166.1M
EPS——0.000.130.17
Net Margin12.4%12.4%0.8%6.2%6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.060.040.01
Current Ratio1.061.06———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.26B$-2.26B$1.86B$2.83B$5.88B
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%0.2%5.2%6.8%
Valuation
P/E5.305.30126.674.543.76
P/B0.200.200.220.230.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.7%16.7%-72.6%-12.1%—
EPS Growth——-96.5%-23.5%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.8%

Total return

+10.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.00 → n/d

Residual

+9.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.