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1476.HK$1.27+4.96%
Fair $1.27+0.0%

1476.HK

Financial Street Securities Co., Limited

Financial Services / Capital MarketsHKSE

$1.27

+0.06 (+4.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.27Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 6.0/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 0/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1476.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Financial Street Securities Co., Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

8.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

15.4x

↑

ROE

3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

90.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.32

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1476.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.270Periodo -69.5%
Fair value: $1.270

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-53.5%

FCF / Net income

-5.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.04B · net income $324.9M · FCF $-1.62B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

90.5%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

29.3%+23.9% pts

Net margin

10.7%+66.3% pts

FCF margin

-53.5%-139.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.04B$3.04B$2.35B$1.97B$2.31B
Net Income$324.9M$324.9M$176.3M$64.1M$-1.29B
EBITDA$774.0M$774.0M$748.6M$671.7M$-1.32B
EPS——0.070.02-0.49
Gross Margin90.5%90.5%92.3%91.7%91.0%
Operating Margin29.3%29.3%25.7%16.4%5.5%
Net Margin10.7%10.7%7.5%3.3%-55.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.321.321.531.261.16
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.62B$-1.62B$-1.20B$-280.8M$2.00B
Returns
ROE3.8%3.8%2.1%0.8%-16.1%
Valuation
P/E8.478.4728.43120.00—
EV/EBITDA15.4515.4521.3823.89—
P/B0.380.380.620.961.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth29.0%29.0%19.5%-14.8%—
EPS Growth——250.0%104.1%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.9%

Total return

-29.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.07 → n/d

Residual

-31.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.