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1491.T$708.00-0.28%
Fair $708.00+0.0%

1491.T

Chugai Mining Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / GoldTokyo

$708.00

-2.00 (-0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $708.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-89.4M · quality 40.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1491.TLocal privado en este navegador · Chugai Mining Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.2B

P/E

6.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

14.9%

↑

Gross Margin

2.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$708
$697$1480

TradingView lightweight chart

1491.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $718.00Periodo -97.2%
Fair value: $708.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+46.5%

FCF CAGR

+2.9%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $162.35B · net income $1.22B · FCF $301.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.4%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

0.9%-0.3% pts

Net margin

0.8%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$162.35B$162.35B$113.76B$84.82B$51.59B
Net Income$1.22B$1.22B$218.6M$398.3M$546.9M
EBITDA$1.38B$1.38B$319.0M$462.7M$559.1M
EPS84.6084.6015.2027.6037.80
Gross Margin2.4%2.4%2.5%3.7%4.6%
Operating Margin0.9%0.9%0.3%0.9%1.1%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%0.2%0.5%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.290.250.13
Current Ratio2.212.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$301.2M$301.2M$-89.4M$-1.24B$276.3M
Returns
ROE14.9%14.9%3.1%5.6%7.7%
Valuation
P/E6.746.7442.1123.1916.93
EV/EBITDA6.406.4025.0716.4710.85
P/B1.251.251.301.291.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth42.7%42.7%34.1%64.4%—
EPS Growth456.6%456.6%-44.9%-27.0%—
Dividend Yield9.5%9.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$62.82

Spread vs growth

466.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$76.02

Spread vs growth

458.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$122.42

Spread vs growth

452.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.0%

Total return

-24.0%

Start / end P/E

71.1x → 8.5x

EPS bridge

15.20 → 84.60

Residual

-402.0%

EPS growth+456.6%
Multiple rerating-88.1%
Dividend+9.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-402.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.