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154030.KQ$1663.00-5.89%
Fair $1663.00+0.0%

154030.KQ

ASIA SEED Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsKOSDAQ

$1663.00

-104.00 (-5.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1663.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $623.2M · quality 42.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 0unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 154030.KQLocal privado en este navegador · ASIA SEED Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$20.1B

P/E

14.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

13.4x

↑

ROE

7.5%

↑

Gross Margin

44.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.49

↑
52-Week Range$1663
$1651$3000

TradingView lightweight chart

154030.KQ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,663Periodo -62.2%
Fair value: $1,663

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.5%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $27.81B · net income $1.91B · FCF $965.6M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.6%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

3.5%+5.5% pts

Net margin

6.9%+16.1% pts

FCF margin

3.5%+5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$27.81B$27.81B$24.59B$26.40B
Net Income$1.91B$1.91B$-633.9M$-2.45B
EBITDA$2.81B$2.81B$1.97B$-689.9M
EPS158.00158.00-53.00-204.00
Gross Margin44.6%44.6%44.2%45.1%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%-4.5%-2.0%
Net Margin6.9%6.9%-2.6%-9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.490.490.560.56
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$965.6M$965.6M$623.2M$-460.1M
Returns
ROE7.5%7.5%-2.8%-11.0%
Valuation
P/E14.2714.27——
EV/EBITDA13.3713.3719.45—
P/B1.071.071.271.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.1%13.1%-6.8%—
EPS Growth398.1%398.1%74.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$147.56

Spread vs growth

400.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$178.55

Spread vs growth

395.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$287.56

Spread vs growth

391.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.7%

Total return

-27.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-53.00 → 158.00

Residual

-27.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.