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1542.HK$0.93+0.00%
Fair $0.93+0.0%

1542.HK

Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd.

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated WaterHKSE

$0.93

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.93Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 7/F
F-Score: 7/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-56.1M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

7/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.20, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -6.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1542.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Taizhou Water Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$186M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

12.7x

↑

ROE

-6.6%

↓

Gross Margin

21.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.20

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1542.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.930Periodo -78.0%
Fair value: $0.930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.5%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $606.4M · net income $-71.6M · FCF $-33.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%-17.4% pts

Operating margin

12.6%-16.2% pts

Net margin

-11.8%-22.1% pts

FCF margin

-5.5%+20.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$606.4M$606.4M$600.8M$606.3M$542.7M
Net Income$-71.6M$-71.6M$-95.6M$-84.0M$55.9M
EBITDA$261.6M$261.6M$242.5M$265.2M$236.2M
EPS-0.36-0.36-0.48-0.420.28
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%20.7%23.9%38.9%
Operating Margin12.6%12.6%9.6%11.3%28.8%
Net Margin-11.8%-11.8%-15.9%-13.9%10.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.203.204.764.083.40
Current Ratio0.580.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-33.6M$-33.6M$-116.7M$-56.1M$-139.5M
Returns
ROE-6.6%-6.6%-12.4%-9.6%5.9%
Valuation
P/E————9.36
EV/EBITDA12.6712.6715.1313.4214.66
P/B0.170.170.420.510.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.9%0.9%-0.9%11.7%—
EPS Growth25.0%25.0%-14.3%-250.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.2%

Total return

-37.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.48 → -0.36

Residual

-37.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.