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v0.1
1973.HK$2.00-9.09%
Fair $2.00+0.0%

1973.HK

Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementHKSE

$2.00

-0.20 (-9.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1973.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

6.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

3.0%

↓

Gross Margin

-29.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

1973.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.000Periodo -59.0%
Fair value: $2.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-50.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2441.5%

FCF / Net income

3.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.6M · net income $195.8M · FCF $625.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-29.2%-108.3% pts

Operating margin

144.3%+203.2% pts

Net margin

764.9%+492.0% pts

FCF margin

2441.5%+2551.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$25.6M$25.6M$-236.4M$22.7M$205.0M
Net Income$195.8M$195.8M$-891.5M$-873.0M$559.3M
EBITDA$185.5M$185.5M$-932.5M$-876.9M$303.6M
EPS——-1.29-1.560.81
Gross Margin-29.2%-29.2%113.9%-79.1%79.0%
Operating Margin144.3%144.3%688.5%-7431.1%-58.9%
Net Margin764.9%764.9%377.1%-3852.8%272.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.160.150.15
Current Ratio7.747.74———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$625.0M$625.0M$513.7M$-259.1M$-225.7M
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%-13.8%-12.0%7.7%
Valuation
P/E6.256.25———
EV/EBITDA5.485.48———
P/B0.210.210.330.39—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth110.8%110.8%-1143.3%-88.9%—
EPS Growth——17.3%-293.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.1%

Total return

-33.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.29 → n/d

Residual

-33.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.