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2064.TWO$15.15+9.78%
Fair $15.15+0.0%

2064.TWO

Camellia Metal Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelTaipei Exchange

$15.15

+1.35 (+9.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.15Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.0M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -9.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2064.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Camellia Metal Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

71.5x

↑

ROE

-9.6%

↓

Gross Margin

3.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.47

↑
52-Week Range$15
$11$15

TradingView lightweight chart

2064.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.15Periodo -31.1%
Fair value: $15.15

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.4%

FCF / Net income

0.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.58B · net income $-89.9M · FCF $-53.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.2%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

-4.2%-7.0% pts

Net margin

-5.7%-9.4% pts

FCF margin

-3.4%-21.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.58B$1.58B$1.64B$1.43B$2.16B
Net Income$-89.9M$-89.9M$-12.8M$-94.3M$79.2M
EBITDA$28.9M$28.9M$110.6M$12.8M$218.1M
EPS——-0.18-1.361.14
Gross Margin3.2%3.2%4.9%1.1%8.4%
Operating Margin-4.2%-4.2%-2.3%-6.8%2.8%
Net Margin-5.7%-5.7%-0.8%-6.6%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.471.471.301.361.14
Current Ratio0.770.77———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-53.9M$-53.9M$28.0M$256.9M$382.4M
Returns
ROE-9.6%-9.6%-1.3%-9.1%6.6%
Valuation
P/E————15.66
EV/EBITDA71.5271.5217.89177.4210.82
P/B1.131.131.001.101.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.9%-3.9%15.0%-33.7%—
EPS Growth——86.8%-219.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.4%

Total return

+7.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.18 → n/d

Residual

+7.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.