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v0.1
2200.SR$7.65+4.51%
Fair $7.65+0.0%

2200.SR

Arabian Pipes Company

Basic Materials / SteelSaudi

$7.65

+0.33 (+4.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.65Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $82.6M · quality 55.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2200.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Arabian Pipes Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

17.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.9x

↓

ROE

22.6%

↑

Gross Margin

21.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.27

↑
52-Week Range$8
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

2200.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.650Periodo +12.8%
Fair value: $7.650

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

24.3%

FCF / Net income

1.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $874.1M · net income $110.5M · FCF $212.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.9%+15.7% pts

Operating margin

16.9%+15.1% pts

Net margin

12.6%+14.8% pts

FCF margin

24.3%+35.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$874.1M$874.1M$1.14B$1.09B$479.0M
Net Income$110.5M$110.5M$168.2M$132.1M$-10.5M
EBITDA$185.5M$185.5M$274.5M$221.3M$41.9M
EPS0.550.550.840.66-0.05
Gross Margin21.9%21.9%24.9%21.8%6.3%
Operating Margin16.9%16.9%20.9%17.8%1.8%
Net Margin12.6%12.6%14.8%12.1%-2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.271.042.014.24
Current Ratio2.232.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$212.5M$212.5M$82.6M$-17.4M$-54.4M
Returns
ROE22.6%22.6%41.9%56.7%-10.4%
Valuation
P/E17.0017.0010.7313.09—
EV/EBITDA8.878.877.739.5022.10
P/B3.133.134.497.415.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.2%-23.2%4.5%127.4%—
EPS Growth-34.5%-34.5%27.3%1357.1%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

7.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.68

Spread vs growth

-41.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

8.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.82

Spread vs growth

-42.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.32

Spread vs growth

-43.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.6%

Total return

+21.6%

Start / end P/E

7.6x → 13.9x

EPS bridge

0.84 → 0.55

Residual

-28.4%

EPS growth-34.5%
Multiple rerating+82.2%
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.