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v0.1
2220.SR$12.27+0.00%
Fair $12.27+0.0%

2220.SR

National Metal Manufacturing and Casting Co.

Basic Materials / SteelSaudi

$12.27

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.27Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 13/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.4M · quality 77.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

13/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -9.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2220.SRLocal privado en este navegador · National Metal Manufacturing and Casting Co.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$434M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-9.9%

↓

Gross Margin

7.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.27

↑
52-Week Range$12
$11$19

TradingView lightweight chart

2220.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.27Periodo -37.6%
Fair value: $12.27

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.6%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $240.0M · net income $-22.3M · FCF $-30.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.0%+7.4% pts

Operating margin

-7.2%+5.7% pts

Net margin

-9.3%+5.8% pts

FCF margin

-12.6%+2.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$240.0M$240.0M$244.5M$217.3M$257.6M
Net Income$-22.3M$-22.3M$-40.3M$-31.5M$-39.0M
EBITDA$-5.4M$-5.4M$-8.5M$-2.6M$-16.6M
EPS——-1.14-0.89-1.10
Gross Margin7.0%7.0%4.3%4.4%-0.3%
Operating Margin-7.2%-7.2%-9.7%-8.8%-12.9%
Net Margin-9.3%-9.3%-16.5%-14.5%-15.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.120.100.11
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-30.2M$-30.2M$-20.4M$-18.2M$-38.3M
Returns
ROE-9.9%-9.9%-16.4%-11.1%-12.4%
Valuation
P/B1.931.932.662.462.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.8%-1.8%12.5%-15.7%—
EPS Growth——-28.1%19.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.8%

Total return

-6.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.14 → n/d

Residual

-6.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.