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v0.1
2237.HK$0.27-1.82%
Fair $0.27+0.0%

2237.HK

China Graphite Group Limited

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningHKSE

$0.27

-0.00 (-1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.27Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-28.7M · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2237.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Graphite Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$432M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

13.8x

↑

ROE

1.1%

↑

Gross Margin

29.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2237.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.270Periodo -65.8%
Fair value: $0.270

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-17.6%

FCF CAGR

-9.7%

FCF margin

6.8%

FCF / Net income

2.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $152.9M · net income $4.9M · FCF $10.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.4%-20.3% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-32.6% pts

Net margin

3.2%-25.7% pts

FCF margin

6.8%+1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$152.9M$152.9M$142.4M$202.0M$273.6M
Net Income$4.9M$4.9M$-12.5M$21.3M$79.0M
EBITDA$34.4M$34.4M$12.6M$46.9M$113.7M
EPS——-0.010.010.06
Gross Margin29.4%29.4%29.2%36.5%49.7%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%-6.6%13.0%35.0%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%-8.8%10.6%28.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.190.150.03
Current Ratio1.501.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.4M$10.4M$-88.6M$-28.7M$14.1M
Returns
ROE1.1%1.1%-2.9%4.7%17.5%
Valuation
P/E———35.7116.14
EV/EBITDA13.8413.8450.3715.2310.32
P/B0.980.981.341.692.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.4%7.4%-29.5%-26.2%—
EPS Growth——-158.6%-76.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.8%

Total return

-1.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → n/d

Residual

-1.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.