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2820.TW$16.75-0.30%
Fair $16.75+0.0%

2820.TW

China Bills Finance Corporation

Financial Services / Capital MarketsTaiwan

$16.75

-0.05 (-0.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.75Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 21.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 0/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2820.TWLocal privado en este navegador · China Bills Finance Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.5B

P/E

12.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

6.5%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$17
$15$18

TradingView lightweight chart

2820.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.75Periodo +59.3%
Fair value: $16.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-279.1%

FCF / Net income

-4.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.98B · net income $1.80B · FCF $-8.30B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

—— pts

Net margin

60.4%-3.9% pts

FCF margin

-279.1%-484.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.98B$2.98B$2.24B$2.02B$1.62B
Net Income$1.80B$1.80B$1.37B$1.29B$1.04B
EPS——1.020.960.77
Net Margin60.4%60.4%61.2%63.9%64.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio0.710.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.30B$-8.30B$-1.60B$-5.99B$3.32B
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%5.4%5.2%4.7%
Valuation
P/E12.5012.5014.6615.6818.96
P/B0.810.810.800.810.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth32.5%32.5%11.2%24.7%—
EPS Growth——6.3%24.7%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.8%

Total return

+13.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.02 → n/d

Residual

+9.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.