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29M.AX$0.27-1.82%
Fair $0.27+0.0%

29M.AX

29Metals Limited

Basic Materials / Other Precious Metals & MiningASX

$0.27

-0.00 (-1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.27Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-68.2M · quality 40.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 29M.AXLocal privado en este navegador · 29Metals Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$473M

P/E

13.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.2x

↓

ROE

5.4%

↑

Gross Margin

33.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.55

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

29M.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.270Periodo -86.4%
Fair value: $0.270

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $566.3M · net income $24.2M · FCF $-68.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.1%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

5.2%+10.3% pts

Net margin

4.3%+10.9% pts

FCF margin

-12.0%-17.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$566.3M$566.3M$557.8M$453.9M$714.0M
Net Income$24.2M$24.2M$-177.6M$-440.5M$-47.2M
EBITDA$172.2M$172.2M$-19.1M$-231.8M$142.4M
EPS0.020.02-0.22-0.66-0.08
Gross Margin33.1%33.1%18.3%6.6%26.1%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%-15.3%-70.7%-5.1%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%-31.8%-97.0%-6.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.550.550.750.640.37
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-68.2M$-68.2M$-57.1M$-121.5M$42.1M
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%-42.4%-104.3%-6.6%
Valuation
P/E13.5013.50———
EV/EBITDA3.253.25——9.30
P/B0.930.930.460.941.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.5%1.5%22.9%-36.4%—
EPS Growth107.0%107.0%65.8%-736.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

91.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

94.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

95.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +31.7%

Total return

+31.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.22 → 0.02

Residual

+31.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+31.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.