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3002.SR$5.82-1.36%
Fair $5.82+0.0%

3002.SR

Najran Cement Company

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsSaudi

$5.82

-0.08 (-1.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.82Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.3M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3002.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Najran Cement Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$959M

P/E

36.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

1.8%

↑

Gross Margin

21.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

3002.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.820Periodo -74.0%
Fair value: $5.820

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.2%

FCF CAGR

+18.7%

FCF margin

13.7%

FCF / Net income

1.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $516.1M · net income $36.7M · FCF $70.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.3%-10.6% pts

Operating margin

12.7%-11.4% pts

Net margin

7.1%-13.9% pts

FCF margin

13.7%+5.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$516.1M$516.1M$534.5M$485.7M$535.7M
Net Income$36.7M$36.7M$68.4M$55.2M$112.8M
EBITDA$163.4M$163.4M$196.5M$177.9M$205.7M
EPS——0.400.320.66
Gross Margin21.3%21.3%27.2%26.4%31.9%
Operating Margin12.7%12.7%18.3%17.2%24.1%
Net Margin7.1%7.1%12.8%11.4%21.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.150.170.14
Current Ratio3.883.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$70.6M$70.6M$40.3M$-38.8M$42.3M
Returns
ROE1.8%1.8%3.4%2.8%5.7%
Valuation
P/E36.3836.3822.4035.0619.21
EV/EBITDA7.447.449.1912.5511.66
P/B0.470.470.750.971.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.4%-3.4%10.1%-9.3%—
EPS Growth——25.0%-51.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.9%

Total return

-29.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.40 → n/d

Residual

-29.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.