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300200.SZ$9.18-1.92%
Fair $9.18+0.0%

300200.SZ

Beijing Comens New Materials Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$9.18

-0.18 (-1.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.18Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-52.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 300200.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Comens New Materials Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

41.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.0x

↑

ROE

6.4%

↑

Gross Margin

24.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$9
$9$16

TradingView lightweight chart

300200.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.360Periodo +43.8%
Fair value: $9.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.32B · net income $104.0M · FCF $-57.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.8%-6.5% pts

Operating margin

9.9%-5.0% pts

Net margin

7.9%-6.0% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%-17.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.32B$1.32B$1.18B$1.04B$1.02B
Net Income$104.0M$104.0M$135.4M$-345.2M$140.8M
EBITDA$156.0M$156.0M$193.8M$-311.3M$186.3M
EPS0.250.250.32-0.800.32
Gross Margin24.8%24.8%27.9%27.8%31.3%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%11.4%9.9%14.9%
Net Margin7.9%7.9%11.5%-33.3%13.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.090.000.01
Current Ratio1.521.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-57.0M$-57.0M$-52.0M$25.6M$134.0M
Returns
ROE6.4%6.4%8.5%-22.2%7.3%
Valuation
P/E41.7341.7323.75—23.09
EV/EBITDA24.0224.0216.18—16.47
P/B2.342.342.022.381.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.7%11.7%14.0%1.9%—
EPS Growth-21.9%-21.9%140.0%-350.0%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.81

Spread vs growth

-70.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.99

Spread vs growth

-53.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.59

Spread vs growth

-42.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.2%

Total return

-8.2%

Start / end P/E

31.8x → 36.7x

EPS bridge

0.32 → 0.25

Residual

-3.4%

EPS growth-21.9%
Multiple rerating+15.5%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.