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300505.SZ$21.13+0.33%
Fair $21.13+0.0%

300505.SZ

Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShenzhen

$21.13

+0.07 (+0.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.13Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $71.7M · quality 47.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 300505.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Kunming Chuan Jin Nuo Chemical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.8B

P/E

13.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.2x

↓

ROE

15.6%

↑

Gross Margin

18.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.29

↑
52-Week Range$21
$17$41

TradingView lightweight chart

300505.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.13Periodo +179.2%
Fair value: $21.13

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.9%

FCF / Net income

0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.07B · net income $453.8M · FCF $77.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.0%-2.8% pts

Operating margin

13.6%-3.2% pts

Net margin

11.1%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

1.9%+7.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.07B$4.07B$3.21B$2.71B$2.52B
Net Income$453.8M$453.8M$176.1M$-91.5M$347.0M
EBITDA$703.7M$703.7M$384.8M$34.1M$541.5M
EPS1.651.650.64-0.371.54
Gross Margin18.0%18.0%13.3%2.0%20.8%
Operating Margin13.6%13.6%7.7%-3.1%16.8%
Net Margin11.1%11.1%5.5%-3.4%13.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.260.300.39
Current Ratio1.951.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$77.5M$77.5M$71.7M$-65.4M$-150.1M
Returns
ROE15.6%15.6%6.9%-3.8%19.1%
Valuation
P/E13.7213.7221.36—15.50
EV/EBITDA8.198.199.60119.8210.73
P/B1.991.991.481.722.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.0%27.0%18.3%7.6%—
EPS Growth157.8%157.8%272.0%-124.1%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.87

Spread vs growth

153.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.27

Spread vs growth

151.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.65

Spread vs growth

149.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.8%

Total return

+9.8%

Start / end P/E

30.6x → 12.8x

EPS bridge

0.64 → 1.65

Residual

-91.7%

EPS growth+157.8%
Multiple rerating-58.1%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-91.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.