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300586.SZ$11.40+0.88%
Fair $11.40+0.0%

300586.SZ

Malion New Materials Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$11.40

+0.10 (+0.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.40Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-149.2M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300586.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Malion New Materials Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

201.6x

↑

ROE

-3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

5.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$11
$9$15

TradingView lightweight chart

300586.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.30Periodo +373.7%
Fair value: $11.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-23.7%

FCF / Net income

5.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.66B · net income $-70.4M · FCF $-394.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.9%-27.8% pts

Operating margin

-3.7%-28.0% pts

Net margin

-4.2%-17.5% pts

FCF margin

-23.7%-34.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.66B$1.66B$1.73B$1.87B$2.40B
Net Income$-70.4M$-70.4M$35.8M$115.0M$317.1M
EBITDA$44.4M$44.4M$225.4M$366.2M$729.0M
EPS-0.10-0.100.050.160.46
Gross Margin5.9%5.9%14.1%21.5%33.7%
Operating Margin-3.7%-3.7%4.5%12.0%24.3%
Net Margin-4.2%-4.2%2.1%6.1%13.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.400.330.38
Current Ratio1.041.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-394.6M$-394.6M$-48.9M$-149.2M$250.7M
Returns
ROE-3.8%-3.8%1.9%6.0%19.7%
Valuation
P/E——152.7847.7931.20
EV/EBITDA201.57201.5726.1615.6513.79
P/B4.404.402.862.866.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.8%-3.8%-7.6%-22.0%—
EPS Growth-296.4%-296.4%-69.1%-64.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.7%

Total return

+22.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.05 → -0.10

Residual

+22.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.