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300641.SZ$15.15-1.69%
Fair $15.15+0.0%

300641.SZ

Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$15.15

-0.26 (-1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.15Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $792.3M · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 300641.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.0B

P/E

20.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.6x

↓

ROE

22.2%

↑

Gross Margin

38.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$15
$15$26

TradingView lightweight chart

300641.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.15Periodo +51.5%
Fair value: $15.15

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.0%

FCF CAGR

+173.6%

FCF margin

45.6%

FCF / Net income

1.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.29B · net income $714.1M · FCF $1.04B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.1%+31.9% pts

Operating margin

35.0%+32.3% pts

Net margin

31.2%+28.3% pts

FCF margin

45.6%+42.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.29B$2.29B$3.48B$1.54B$1.92B
Net Income$714.1M$714.1M$1.19B$9.9M$55.8M
EBITDA$902.5M$902.5M$1.47B$90.7M$136.8M
EPS1.361.362.340.020.11
Gross Margin38.1%38.1%41.5%3.8%6.2%
Operating Margin35.0%35.0%39.5%-0.2%2.7%
Net Margin31.2%31.2%34.2%0.6%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.050.300.36
Current Ratio23.6023.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.04B$1.04B$792.3M$102.2M$51.0M
Returns
ROE22.2%22.2%42.5%0.6%3.6%
Valuation
P/E20.2020.2010.43285.0047.27
EV/EBITDA6.576.577.6227.2519.58
P/B2.482.484.431.841.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-34.2%-34.2%126.3%-20.1%—
EPS Growth-41.9%-41.9%11600.0%-81.8%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

-41.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.63

Spread vs growth

-45.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.62

Spread vs growth

-48.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.1%

Total return

-32.1%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 11.1x

EPS bridge

2.34 → 1.36

Residual

-4.2%

EPS growth-41.9%
Multiple rerating+10.1%
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.