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300731.SZ$59.13-4.68%
Fair $59.13+0.0%

300731.SZ

Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$59.13

-2.90 (-4.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $59.13Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $241680.46 · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 300731.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.5B

P/E

454.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

80.1x

↑

ROE

5.8%

↑

Gross Margin

19.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$59
$18$71

TradingView lightweight chart

300731.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $62.03Periodo +537.5%
Fair value: $59.13

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.5%

FCF CAGR

-79.3%

FCF margin

0.0%

FCF / Net income

0.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.16B · net income $35.6M · FCF $241680.5

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.2%-4.4% pts

Operating margin

6.2%+9.8% pts

Net margin

3.1%+8.2% pts

FCF margin

0.0%-5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.16B$1.16B$958.1M$558.6M$520.3M
Net Income$35.6M$35.6M$17.3M$25.5M$-26.7M
EBITDA$95.2M$95.2M$77.1M$68.8M$5.9M
EPS0.280.280.140.20-0.21
Gross Margin19.2%19.2%20.9%25.4%23.7%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%6.4%3.7%-3.6%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%1.8%4.6%-5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.380.260.28
Current Ratio1.361.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$241680.46$241680.46$-52.5M$21.7M$27.1M
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%2.9%4.1%-4.4%
Valuation
P/E454.85454.8598.1668.61—
EV/EBITDA80.1180.1123.3825.41280.43
P/B12.1612.162.822.842.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.7%20.7%71.5%7.4%—
EPS Growth100.0%100.0%-30.0%195.2%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

165.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.25

Spread vs growth

-65.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

86.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.35

Spread vs growth

13.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

43.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.22

Spread vs growth

56.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +210.9%

Total return

+210.9%

Start / end P/E

135.9x → 211.2x

EPS bridge

0.14 → 0.28

Residual

+55.4%

EPS growth+100.0%
Multiple rerating+55.4%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+55.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.