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300741.SZ$14.68+1.03%
Fair $14.68+0.0%

300741.SZ

Huabao Flavours & Fragrances Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$14.68

+0.15 (+1.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.68Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $295.4M · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300741.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Huabao Flavours & Fragrances Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.0B

P/E

112.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

35.3x

↑

ROE

1.2%

↑

Gross Margin

47.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$15
$14$23

TradingView lightweight chart

300741.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.68Periodo -73.6%
Fair value: $14.68

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.9%

FCF CAGR

-37.6%

FCF margin

9.5%

FCF / Net income

1.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.34B · net income $83.8M · FCF $127.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.8%-15.3% pts

Operating margin

6.6%-34.0% pts

Net margin

6.3%-32.0% pts

FCF margin

9.5%-18.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.34B$1.34B$1.36B$1.48B$1.89B
Net Income$83.8M$83.8M$-296.3M$379.0M$724.9M
EBITDA$196.1M$196.1M$-200.1M$537.5M$954.2M
EPS0.140.14-0.480.621.18
Gross Margin47.8%47.8%54.8%55.1%63.1%
Operating Margin6.6%6.6%21.3%31.9%40.6%
Net Margin6.3%6.3%-21.8%25.5%38.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.040.07
Current Ratio14.5214.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$127.0M$127.0M$295.4M$550.4M$522.5M
Returns
ROE1.2%1.2%-4.4%5.3%9.6%
Valuation
P/E112.92112.92—33.3920.48
EV/EBITDA35.3035.30—21.7712.31
P/B1.291.291.491.761.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.4%-1.4%-8.6%-21.6%—
EPS Growth129.2%129.2%-177.4%-47.5%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

110.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.30

Spread vs growth

18.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

62.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.58

Spread vs growth

66.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.54

Spread vs growth

95.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.7%

Total return

-11.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.48 → 0.14

Residual

-12.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.