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300804.SZ$37.26-2.05%
Fair $37.26+0.0%

300804.SZ

Yingde Greatchem Chemicals Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShenzhen

$37.26

-0.78 (-2.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.26Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-150.6M · quality 57.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300804.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Yingde Greatchem Chemicals Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.8B

P/E

120.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.2x

↑

ROE

3.0%

↑

Gross Margin

24.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↑
52-Week Range$37
$26$67

TradingView lightweight chart

300804.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.26Periodo -5.3%
Fair value: $37.26

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-20.0%

FCF / Net income

-3.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $754.8M · net income $40.7M · FCF $-150.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.1%-5.1% pts

Operating margin

8.1%-8.5% pts

Net margin

5.4%-9.2% pts

FCF margin

-20.0%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$754.8M$754.8M$723.5M$495.0M$659.9M
Net Income$40.7M$40.7M$34.7M$30.1M$96.2M
EBITDA$123.7M$123.7M$109.0M$88.3M$145.5M
EPS0.550.550.470.461.73
Gross Margin24.1%24.1%20.8%24.0%29.3%
Operating Margin8.1%8.1%4.7%7.7%16.6%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%4.8%6.1%14.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.230.230.29
Current Ratio1.881.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-150.6M$-150.6M$-81.3M$-222.8M$-124.8M
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%2.6%2.3%15.8%
Valuation
P/E120.19120.1945.4366.96—
EV/EBITDA24.2024.2015.9622.05—
P/B2.022.021.191.57—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.3%4.3%46.2%-25.0%—
EPS Growth17.0%17.0%2.2%-73.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

81.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.31

Spread vs growth

-64.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

48.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.00

Spread vs growth

-31.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.44

Spread vs growth

-10.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.6%

Total return

+34.6%

Start / end P/E

58.9x → 67.7x

EPS bridge

0.47 → 0.55

Residual

+2.6%

EPS growth+17.0%
Multiple rerating+15.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.