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300881.SZ$50.95-3.10%
Fair $50.95+0.0%

300881.SZ

SHENGTAK

Basic Materials / SteelShenzhen

$50.95

-1.63 (-3.10%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $50.95Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-196.1M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 300881.SZLocal privado en este navegador · SHENGTAK
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$0

P/E

23.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.2x

↑

ROE

20.8%

↑

Gross Margin

15.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.74

↑
52-Week Range$51
$28$58

TradingView lightweight chart

300881.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $50.95Periodo -28.1%
Fair value: $50.95

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+37.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.15B · net income $248.0M · FCF $-196.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.7%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

9.4%+2.8% pts

Net margin

7.9%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

-6.2%+27.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.15B$3.15B$2.66B$1.98B$1.21B
Net Income$248.0M$248.0M$225.8M$120.5M$73.5M
EBITDA$397.9M$397.9M$339.7M$168.7M$96.0M
EPS2.252.252.061.100.67
Gross Margin15.7%15.7%17.9%14.1%12.9%
Operating Margin9.4%9.4%11.5%8.2%6.6%
Net Margin7.9%7.9%8.5%6.1%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.740.740.730.650.18
Current Ratio1.331.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-196.1M$-196.1M$-330.6M$-89.3M$-406.8M
Returns
ROE20.8%20.8%21.4%13.0%8.8%
Valuation
P/E23.0523.0514.4623.0251.74
EV/EBITDA15.2115.2110.5117.2937.56
P/B4.704.703.103.004.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.3%18.3%34.4%64.1%—
EPS Growth9.4%9.4%88.1%64.1%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.52

Spread vs growth

-16.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.47

Spread vs growth

-10.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$8.81

Spread vs growth

-5.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +70.2%

Total return

+70.2%

Start / end P/E

14.7x → 22.6x

EPS bridge

2.06 → 2.25

Residual

+5.1%

EPS growth+9.4%
Multiple rerating+53.7%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.