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300980.SZ$27.14-0.18%
Fair $27.14+0.0%

300980.SZ

Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$27.14

-0.05 (-0.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.14Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-68.5M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300980.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

60.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.3x

↑

ROE

3.5%

↑

Gross Margin

28.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$27
$22$40

TradingView lightweight chart

300980.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.19Periodo -25.2%
Fair value: $27.14

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $603.5M · net income $49.7M · FCF $-61.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.3%-2.8% pts

Operating margin

8.7%-3.7% pts

Net margin

8.2%-6.9% pts

FCF margin

-10.2%+15.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$603.5M$603.5M$475.9M$383.7M$373.6M
Net Income$49.7M$49.7M$25.6M$41.0M$56.7M
EBITDA$123.4M$123.4M$110.2M$95.0M$87.8M
EPS0.370.370.240.380.53
Gross Margin28.3%28.3%29.3%37.0%31.1%
Operating Margin8.7%8.7%7.5%14.8%12.5%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%5.4%10.7%15.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.450.04
Current Ratio7.247.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-61.9M$-61.9M$-68.5M$-269.0M$-97.9M
Returns
ROE3.5%3.5%1.8%4.0%5.9%
Valuation
P/E60.3160.3189.8358.7934.43
EV/EBITDA28.3328.3319.5226.7618.76
P/B2.572.571.642.322.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.8%26.8%24.0%2.7%—
EPS Growth54.2%54.2%-36.8%-28.3%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

86.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.41

Spread vs growth

-32.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

51.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.91

Spread vs growth

3.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.69

Spread vs growth

25.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.0%

Total return

+11.0%

Start / end P/E

102.5x → 73.4x

EPS bridge

0.24 → 0.37

Residual

-15.4%

EPS growth+54.2%
Multiple rerating-28.4%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.