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300995.SZ$33.45-1.50%
Fair $33.45+0.0%

300995.SZ

Guangdong Kitech New Material Holding Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$33.45

-0.51 (-1.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $33.45Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-76.0M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300995.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Kitech New Material Holding Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.8B

P/E

123.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

53.8x

↑

ROE

3.1%

↑

Gross Margin

25.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$33
$31$67

TradingView lightweight chart

300995.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $33.96Periodo -28.7%
Fair value: $33.45

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $375.0M · net income $19.6M · FCF $-2.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.7%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

6.2%+4.1% pts

Net margin

5.2%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%+7.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$375.0M$375.0M$346.1M$283.2M$256.3M
Net Income$19.6M$19.6M$8.7M$8.0M$14.7M
EBITDA$52.7M$52.7M$31.2M$27.0M$26.3M
EPS0.230.230.100.100.18
Gross Margin25.7%25.7%22.8%26.7%23.4%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%1.9%4.0%2.1%
Net Margin5.2%5.2%2.5%2.8%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.110.060.03
Current Ratio2.432.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.1M$-2.1M$-76.0M$-137.7M$-21.2M
Returns
ROE3.1%3.1%1.4%1.3%2.3%
Valuation
P/E123.89123.89141.81223.25103.08
EV/EBITDA53.8453.8439.9264.7356.32
P/B4.414.411.972.832.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.3%8.3%22.2%10.5%—
EPS Growth126.3%126.3%8.7%-45.5%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

132.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.97

Spread vs growth

-6.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

72.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.59

Spread vs growth

53.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

37.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.78

Spread vs growth

88.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.1%

Total return

-11.1%

Start / end P/E

366.6x → 142.4x

EPS bridge

0.10 → 0.23

Residual

-77.2%

EPS growth+126.3%
Multiple rerating-61.2%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-77.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.