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301019.SZ$21.16-2.71%
Fair $21.16+0.0%

301019.SZ

Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$21.16

-0.59 (-2.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.16Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $62.8M · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 59/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 301019.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

30.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.1x

↑

ROE

9.9%

↑

Gross Margin

37.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$21
$16$30

TradingView lightweight chart

301019.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.75Periodo -21.1%
Fair value: $21.16

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

+1.5%

FCF margin

13.7%

FCF / Net income

0.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $468.9M · net income $110.0M · FCF $64.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.5%+7.4% pts

Operating margin

24.4%+4.3% pts

Net margin

23.5%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

13.7%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$468.9M$468.9M$493.1M$451.2M$464.1M
Net Income$110.0M$110.0M$100.5M$101.9M$100.5M
EBITDA$141.7M$141.7M$130.3M$131.8M$127.1M
EPS0.670.670.600.610.60
Gross Margin37.5%37.5%33.5%35.2%30.1%
Operating Margin24.4%24.4%21.7%22.9%20.1%
Net Margin23.5%23.5%20.4%22.6%21.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.00
Current Ratio8.918.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$64.4M$64.4M$6.7M$62.8M$61.6M
Returns
ROE9.9%9.9%8.8%9.3%9.6%
Valuation
P/E30.2330.2328.3327.4923.57
EV/EBITDA24.1124.1121.1918.1914.64
P/B3.133.132.502.552.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.9%-4.9%9.3%-2.8%—
EPS Growth11.7%11.7%-1.6%1.8%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

41.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.88

Spread vs growth

-29.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.27

Spread vs growth

-16.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.66

Spread vs growth

-6.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.9%

Total return

+28.9%

Start / end P/E

28.0x → 31.6x

EPS bridge

0.60 → 0.67

Residual

+1.5%

EPS growth+11.7%
Multiple rerating+12.9%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.