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301037.SZ$14.80-6.03%
Fair $14.80+0.0%

301037.SZ

Shanghai Baolijia Chemical Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$14.80

-0.95 (-6.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.80Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 5/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $534203.89 · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.12, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -9.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301037.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Baolijia Chemical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

45.9x

↑

ROE

-9.7%

↓

Gross Margin

12.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.12

↑
52-Week Range$15
$11$18

TradingView lightweight chart

301037.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.80Periodo -26.5%
Fair value: $14.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-18.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.69B · net income $-55.4M · FCF $534203.9

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.7%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

-0.4%-2.0% pts

Net margin

-3.3%-3.5% pts

FCF margin

0.0%+6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.69B$1.69B$2.15B$2.27B$3.16B
Net Income$-55.4M$-55.4M$-149.7M$-31.3M$5.7M
EBITDA$67.5M$67.5M$-24.1M$48.8M$90.3M
EPS-0.40-0.40-1.08-0.220.04
Gross Margin12.7%12.7%10.1%13.1%10.5%
Operating Margin-0.4%-0.4%-2.4%-0.5%1.6%
Net Margin-3.3%-3.3%-7.0%-1.4%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.122.122.101.321.24
Current Ratio0.720.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$534203.89$534203.89$-309.4M$37.8M$-199.1M
Returns
ROE-9.7%-9.7%-23.7%-3.9%0.7%
Valuation
P/E————293.37
EV/EBITDA45.9145.91—57.9126.65
P/B3.603.602.312.542.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.4%-21.4%-5.2%-28.2%—
EPS Growth63.0%63.0%-383.5%-643.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.9%

Total return

+16.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.08 → -0.40

Residual

+16.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+16.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.